Galatasarayvs
PAOK
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/25/2024, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAOK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Galatasaray are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while PAOK are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PAOK hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while PAOK holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAOK
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
PAOK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 24 · GA 6 · avg 4.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40