Galatasarayvs
IF elfsborg
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2024, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Galatasaray are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while IF elfsborg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IF elfsborg hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF elfsborg
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
IF elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20