GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 10/23/2024, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IF elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Galatasaray are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while IF elfsborg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IF elfsborg hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while IF elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IF elfsborg

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

IF elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GalatasarayWWDDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
IF elfsborgLLWWL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GalatasarayIF elfsborg
66.7Attack50.0
0.0Defence62.5
50.0Form60.4
42.7Power58.8
1.21xG1.57
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