Galatasarayvs
Göztepe
COMPLETEDTurkey · Süper Lig · 8/29/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galatasaray · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galatasaray 3-2 Göztepe
Original prediction
Galatasaray
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.31 | 71.8% | 55.2% | -16.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.29 | 17.8% | 23.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 9.07 | 10.4% | 21.4% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.31 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Galatasaray
Probability
55.2%
Model confidence
55.2%
Galatasaray has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40