GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 1/21/2025, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Galatasaray · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Galatasaray are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dynamo Kyiv are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Galatasaray hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Galatasaray holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Galatasaray

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Galatasaray has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GalatasarayDWWWW

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Dynamo KyivWDWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
GalatasarayDynamo Kyiv
66.7Attack16.7
0.0Defence58.3
50.0Form16.7
42.7Power33.8
1.61xG1.16
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