Galatasarayvs
AZ Alkmaar
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 2/20/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Alkmaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Galatasaray are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while AZ Alkmaar are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AZ Alkmaar hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while AZ Alkmaar holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AZ Alkmaar
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
AZ Alkmaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40