Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galata · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galata 0-0 Pazarspor
Original prediction
Galata
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.5% | 37.5% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.2% | 30.0% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.3% | 32.5% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Galata
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Galata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GalataLDLWD
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
PazarsporWWDLD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GalataPazarspor
37.8Attack50.0
62.2Defence50.0
41.1Form50.0
47.9Power50.0
1.08xG0.94