Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galata · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galata 1-1 Düzcespor
Original prediction
Galata
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.0% | 36.1% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.4% | 29.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.5% | 34.8% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Galata
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Galata has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GalataWDDLD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DüzcesporWDLDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GalataDüzcespor
16.7Attack50.0
83.3Defence66.7
33.3Form66.7
48.3Power64.8
1.09xG1.13