Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galanta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galanta 2-1 MFK Bytča
Original prediction
Galanta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.3% | 71.7% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.7% | 16.0% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 5.32 | 17.0% | 12.3% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.3–09%
Predicted outcome
Galanta
Probability
71.7%
Model confidence
71.7%
Galanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GalantaWLWWL
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
MFK BytčaWLLWL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GalantaMFK Bytča
50.0Attack36.1
47.2Defence13.9
52.8Form25.0
51.7Power28.1
2.80xG0.98