Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malženice · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galanta 1-0 Malženice
Original prediction
Malženice
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.55 | 35.6% | 32.7% | -2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.5% | 26.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.9% | 41.0% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Malženice
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Malženice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GalantaWWWLL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
MalženiceWLLLD
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
GalantaMalženice
22.2Attack55.6
50.0Defence44.4
38.9Form38.9
39.7Power47.5
1.19xG1.46