Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Galanta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Galanta 3-3 Humenné
Original prediction
Galanta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.5% | 57.3% | 3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.0% | 23.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 22.4% | 19.1% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.78 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Galanta
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Galanta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GalantaWWLWW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
HumennéWLLLD
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GalantaHumenné
51.3Attack23.1
48.7Defence48.7
56.4Form28.2
54.0Power36.5
1.80xG0.72