Gala Fairydean Roversvs
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · Football League - Lowland League · 9/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (10%), 1-3 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gala Fairydean Rovers 1-2 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Original prediction
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.23 | 17.2% | 13.1% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.70 | 19.1% | 15.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 63.7% | 71.0% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–310%
- 2.1–39%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
71.0%
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 18 · avg 1.20/3.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60