Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gais · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Gais are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while kalmar FF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gais hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (54.0 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Allsvenskan, while Gais holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gais
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Gais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20