GGOALVIO

Gais logoGaisvsIK brage logoIK brage

COMPLETED

Sweden · Superettan · 4/7/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gais · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Gais are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while IK brage are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gais hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (66.8 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.4% in the Superettan, while Gais holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gais

Probability

76.4%

Model confidence

76.4%

Gais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GaisDWWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
IK brageLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
GaisIK brage
67.8Attack55.6
74.4Defence38.9
63.3Form37.0
66.8Power45.0
2.85xG0.76
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