Gaisvs
IFK Goteborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gais · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gais 1-1 IFK Goteborg
Original prediction
Gais
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.6% | 47.9% | 9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.8% | 25.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.75 | 33.6% | 26.2% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.32 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Gais
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Gais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GaisLLWLD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
IFK GoteborgDWLWW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GaisIFK Goteborg
41.7Attack47.2
65.3Defence40.3
41.7Form50.0
49.7Power47.8
1.60xG0.90