Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gais · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gais 0-0 BK Hacken
Original prediction
Gais
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.28 | 40.8% | 45.9% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 26.3% | 25.4% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.9% | 28.7% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Gais
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Gais has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GaisWWLLW
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
BK HackenLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
GaisBK Hacken
43.9Attack57.9
68.4Defence49.1
45.6Form54.4
52.6Power55.6
1.42xG1.02