GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Marine · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gainsborough Trinity are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 6.00 conceded, while Marine are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Marine hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 65.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Marine holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Marine

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Marine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gainsborough TrinityL

GF 0 · GA 6 · avg 0.00/6.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 1/1
MarineWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Gainsborough TrinityMarine
50.0Attack72.4
66.7Defence63.4
50.0Form64.2
56.2Power65.6
1.12xG1.87
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