GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gainsborough Trinity · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Gainsborough Trinity 4-0 Hyde United

Original prediction

Gainsborough Trinity

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5757.0%61.3%4.3 pts
Draw3.9422.7%20.6%-2.1 pts
Away4.4020.3%18.1%-2.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

4.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–111%
  2. 2.2–011%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Gainsborough Trinity

Probability

61.3%

Model confidence

61.3%

Gainsborough Trinity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gainsborough TrinityWWWLD

GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hyde UnitedDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Gainsborough TrinityHyde United
51.9Attack39.4
55.6Defence39.4
48.1Form42.4
52.0Power43.3
2.08xG0.96
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