Gainsborough Trinityvs
Cleethorpes Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cleethorpes Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gainsborough Trinity 0-3 Cleethorpes Town
Original prediction
Cleethorpes Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.0% | 34.0% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.8% | 25.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.2% | 40.6% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Cleethorpes Town
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Cleethorpes Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00