Gainare Tottorivs
V-varen Nagasaki
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 9/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
V-varen Nagasaki · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gainare Tottori 2-0 V-varen Nagasaki
Original prediction
V-varen Nagasaki
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.22 | 14.6% | 32.8% | 18.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 21.0% | 27.3% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 64.4% | 39.9% | -24.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
V-varen Nagasaki
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
V-varen Nagasaki has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20