Gainare Tottorivs
Tokyo Verdy
COMPLETEDJapan · Emperor Cup · 10/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tokyo Verdy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gainare Tottori 0-0 Tokyo Verdy
Original prediction
Tokyo Verdy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.51 | 13.9% | 31.8% | 17.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.58 | 19.8% | 24.8% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 1.37 | 66.3% | 43.4% | -22.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Tokyo Verdy
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Tokyo Verdy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20