Gainare Tottorivs
Thespakusatsu Gunma
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/17/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gainare Tottori · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gainare Tottori 1-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Original prediction
Gainare Tottori
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.4% | 47.4% | 11.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.1% | 23.8% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.5% | 28.8% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Gainare Tottori
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Gainare Tottori has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40