Gainare Tottorivs
Nara Club
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gainare Tottori · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gainare Tottori 2-3 Nara Club
Original prediction
Gainare Tottori
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.5% | 40.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.4% | 24.0% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.1% | 35.4% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Gainare Tottori
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Gainare Tottori has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60