GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 4/17/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torpedo Kutaisi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gagra are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Torpedo Kutaisi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Torpedo Kutaisi hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 56.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Torpedo Kutaisi holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Torpedo Kutaisi

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Torpedo Kutaisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GagraDLWLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Torpedo KutaisiDWLWL

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
GagraTorpedo Kutaisi
43.5Attack50.9
39.8Defence65.7
35.2Form55.6
40.1Power56.9
0.91xG1.76
View match centre →