GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 3/8/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tbilisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Gagra are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Dinamo Tbilisi are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dinamo Tbilisi hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 59.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dinamo Tbilisi holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tbilisi

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

Dinamo Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

GagraDLW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 2.33/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Dinamo TbilisiWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
GagraDinamo Tbilisi
43.5Attack55.0
39.8Defence63.3
35.2Form56.7
40.1Power59.5
0.97xG1.92
View match centre →