Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dila · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gagra are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dila are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Dila hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Dila holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dila
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
12.2%
Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80