Gagravs
Aragvi Dusheti
COMPLETEDGeorgia · David Kipiani Cup · 8/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gagra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Gagra 0-0 Aragvi Dusheti
Original prediction
Gagra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.4% | 40.0% | -16.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.8% | 25.7% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.79 | 18.8% | 34.3% | 15.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.63 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Gagra
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Gagra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GagraLDDWW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Aragvi DushetiWWLWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GagraAragvi Dusheti
0.0Attack50.0
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
7.0Power45.8
1.75xG1.97