GGOALVIO

Moldova · Liga 1 · 9/1/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gagauziya-Oguzsport · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Gagauziya-Oguzsport are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 2.50 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Făleşti are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gagauziya-Oguzsport hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.4% in the Liga 1, while Gagauziya-Oguzsport holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Probability

63.4%

Model confidence

63.4%

Gagauziya-Oguzsport has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Gagauziya-OguzsportLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 2.50/3.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
FăleştiWW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Gagauziya-OguzsportFăleşti
73.3Attack16.7
60.0Defence100.0
73.3Form66.7
70.2Power64.8
2.53xG1.14
View match centre →