FYR Macedoniavs
Switzerland
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Nations League · 9/26/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FYR Macedonia · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: FYR Macedonia 2-0 Switzerland, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
FYR Macedonia 0-3 Switzerland
Original prediction
FYR Macedonia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.82 | 9.6% | 52.5% | 42.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.69 | 20.2% | 19.6% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 70.2% | 27.8% | -42.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
42.9 pts
Projected Score
FYR Macedonia 2–0 Switzerland
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
FYR Macedonia
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
FYR Macedonia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20