1. Division Women1. Division Women
Sunday, 2 August 202614:00Updated today
Fyllingsdalen W

Fyllingsdalen W

Home
L
vs
14:00
Åsane W

Åsane W

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Fyllingsdalen W(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Fyllingsdalen W
38%
Draw
28%
Åsane W
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Fyllingsdalen W
34
Åsane W
73
Defence
Fyllingsdalen W
27
Åsane W
66
Momentum
Fyllingsdalen W
0
Åsane W
100
Danger (xG)
Fyllingsdalen W
0.90
Åsane W
1.80
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 0.98 xG for Fyllingsdalen W and 1.82 xG for Åsane W. Fyllingsdalen W's projected xG of 0.98 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-1 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 1 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Åsane W's Defensive Stability Score (66) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (34). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.81 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 1 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.Historical meetings between these sides have averaged 1.3 goals per game — a pattern consistent with the current xG projection and the model's under 2.5 lean.

xG for (Fyllingsdalen W)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Åsane W)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Fyllingsdalen W)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Åsane W)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Fyllingsdalen WFyllingsdalen W
L
Åsane WÅsane W
W

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Fyllingsdalen W38%
Draw28%
Åsane W34%

Fyllingsdalen W leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Fyllingsdalen W Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Fyllingsdalen W host Åsane W in 1. Division Women. Fyllingsdalen W have recorded LLLLWW in recent matches while Åsane W arrive with a run of WDWWWW. These sides have met 3 times recently, averaging 1.3 goals per game.

Key factors

: 🎯 xG Advantage The Goalvio xG model projects 1.82 expected goals for Åsane W against 0.98 for Fyllingsdalen W — a significant advantage that translates into a higher win probability. xG is the model's most reliable predictor of match outcomes.
: 🔒 Defensive Stability Åsane W have kept 6 clean sheet(s) in 10 recent matches — a defensive record that gives them a meaningful edge in this fixture. Defensive solidity is one of the strongest predictors of match outcomes at this level.
: 📈 Recent Form Åsane W arrive in better recent form — 5 wins from 10 matches (WDWWWW) against Fyllingsdalen W's 2. Form over the last 5–6 games is one of the most predictive short-term signals in the model, capturing momentum that longer-term averages can miss.

Why GoalVio backs this

Åsane W are generating a commanding xG advantage — 1.82 projected against 0.98 for Fyllingsdalen W. xG measures the quality of chances created, not just shots. A gap of 0.84 is the clearest signal in the model that Åsane W are the materially more dangerous side in this fixture.

Biggest risk: The model's projection is based on averages — individual moments of quality, tactical adjustments, or set-piece situations can always override statistical trends. Åsane W are favoured, but football rarely follows the script exactly.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Fyllingsdalen W

Fyllingsdalen W

L
@ Odd
15 May 2026
12
Åsane W

Åsane W

W
vs Arna-Bjørnar W
16 May 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Fyllingsdalen W vs Åsane W?

GoalVio's model predicts Fyllingsdalen W to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Fyllingsdalen W vs Åsane W?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Fyllingsdalen W vs Åsane W?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fyllingsdalen W vs Åsane W?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more