Fyllingsdalenvs
Stord
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 3 · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stord · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fyllingsdalen 1-2 Stord
Original prediction
Stord
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.47 | 13.9% | 25.9% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 5.66 | 15.9% | 21.7% | 5.9 pts |
| Away | 1.28 | 70.2% | 52.3% | -17.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–27%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Stord
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Stord has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FyllingsdalenLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 20 · avg 0.20/4.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
StordLDLDD
GF 12 · GA 15 · avg 2.40/3.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
FyllingsdalenStord
0.0Attack61.5
0.0Defence41.0
0.0Form50.0
7.0Power51.9
1.92xG2.74