Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fylkir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Fylkir are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vestri are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fylkir hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the 1. Deild, while Fylkir holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fylkir
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
Fylkir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60