1. Deild
Fylkir
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Njardvik
AwayThe model projects 1.52 xG for Fylkir and 1.21 xG for Njardvik — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 2-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.32), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Fylkir's Attack Score (34) exceeds Njardvik's Defensive Stability (11), and Njardvik's attack (83) similarly tests Fylkir's defence (66). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.73 — elevated attacking volume for this fixture. A combined xG above 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is likely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture clears that threshold.The projected 2-1 scoreline clears the 2.5-goal threshold — 3 goals in the most likely outcome. The xG distribution places the most weight on scorelines that clear 2.5, though the margin above the threshold is not large.The attack-versus-defence matchups across both ends of the pitch favour the attackers. Fylkir's Attack Score (34) vs Njardvik's Defensive Stability (11) and Njardvik's attack (83) vs Fylkir's defence (66) both point to a goal-friendly environment — neither defence is strong enough to suppress the other side's attacking output.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesFylkirNjardvikProbability breakdown
Fylkir leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Fylkir Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Fylkir take on Njardvik in 1. Deild.
Key factors
Why GoalVio backs this
Fylkir have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these sides. Historical head-to-head dominance captures tactical matchup advantages that aggregate stats can miss — when one team consistently finds ways to beat the same opponent, that pattern is a meaningful signal in its own right.
Biggest risk: The xG gap between these sides is narrow — a small swing in form, a set-piece goal, or a tactical adjustment could flip the result. The model favours Fylkir, but this is not a fixture where the outcome is a foregone conclusion. If Njardvik score first, the game becomes genuinely open.
Risk factors
- ⚠Njardvik are in decent form with 4 wins from their last 10 matches — an upset cannot be ruled out.
- ⚠The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 2 of the last 6 meetings.
- ⚠The xG gap is narrow at 0.32 — a small swing in form or tactics could flip the result.
Head to head
Recent form
Fylkir
Njardvik
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fylkir vs Njardvik?
GoalVio's model predicts Fylkir to win with 41% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Fylkir vs Njardvik?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Fylkir vs Njardvik?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Fylkir vs Njardvik?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.