GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 5/18/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fylkir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Fylkir are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while IR Reykjavik are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fylkir hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 41.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the 1. Deild, while Fylkir holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fylkir

Probability

69.8%

Model confidence

8.2%

Fylkir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

FylkirLWWWL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IR ReykjavikDLWLL

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FylkirIR Reykjavik
70.4Attack55.6
46.3Defence27.8
63.0Form35.2
59.7Power41.1
3.56xG1.58
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