Fylkirvs
HK Kopavogur
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 9/13/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fylkir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 2-2 (6%), 3-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fylkir 2-2 HK Kopavogur
Original prediction
Fylkir
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 52.6% | 52.5% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.0% | 17.9% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.4% | 29.6% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.2–26%
- 3.3–16%
Predicted outcome
Fylkir
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Fylkir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FylkirWLWWL
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
HK KopavogurLWLWD
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
FylkirHK Kopavogur
75.4Attack78.3
44.9Defence37.7
62.3Form55.1
60.3Power57.2
3.14xG2.40