Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fylkir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Fylkir are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Grotta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Fylkir hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (59.7 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the 1. Deild, while Fylkir holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fylkir
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
6.9%
Fylkir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60