GGOALVIO

Lithuania · Cup · 4/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Futboliukas Vilnius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Futboliukas Vilnius are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 5.50 conceded, while Venta are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Venta hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Cup, while Futboliukas Vilnius holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Futboliukas Vilnius

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

7.5%

Futboliukas Vilnius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Futboliukas VilniusLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.50/5.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
VentaLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/4.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Futboliukas VilniusVenta
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power23.7
2.38xG2.23
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