GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/3/2023, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Limón Black Star · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Futbol Consultants Moravia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Limón Black Star are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Limón Black Star hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 59.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Limón Black Star holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Limón Black Star

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Limón Black Star has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Futbol Consultants MoraviaDLLDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Limón Black StarLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Futbol Consultants MoraviaLimón Black Star
33.3Attack53.9
33.3Defence64.7
0.0Form57.8
23.7Power59.1
0.98xG1.69
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