GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 2/19/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Futbol Consultants Moravia are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Carmelita hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Futbol Consultants MoraviaDDLDD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AD CarmelitaDLDDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Futbol Consultants MoraviaAD Carmelita
33.3Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.47xG1.54
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