Fundacion Amigosvs
Germinal de Rawson
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/6/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fundacion Amigos 0-0 Germinal de Rawson, with an exact score probability of 41%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fundacion Amigos 1-1 Germinal de Rawson
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 54.6% | 43.5% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.6% | 39.2% | 9.6 pts |
| Away | 5.72 | 15.8% | 17.3% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.05 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.6 pts
Projected Score
Fundacion Amigos 0–0 Germinal de Rawson
Exact score probability: 41%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
43.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60