Fundacion Amigosvs
Deportivo Rincon
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/13/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fundacion Amigos 0-0 Deportivo Rincon, with an exact score probability of 35%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fundacion Amigos 1-0 Deportivo Rincon
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.1% | 39.5% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.9% | 37.4% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 3.91 | 23.1% | 23.2% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Projected Score
Fundacion Amigos 0–0 Deportivo Rincon
Exact score probability: 35%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
39.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40