Fundación Lara Deportivavs
Urena SC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/26/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fundación Lara Deportiva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fundación Lara Deportiva 3-0 Urena SC
Original prediction
Fundación Lara Deportiva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.0% | 44.4% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.2% | 27.8% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.45 | 25.8% | 27.8% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.86 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Fundación Lara Deportiva
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Fundación Lara Deportiva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20