Fundación Lara Deportivavs
Puerto Cabello II
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/12/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fundación Lara Deportiva · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fundación Lara Deportiva 1-1 Puerto Cabello II
Original prediction
Fundación Lara Deportiva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 58.9% | 48.2% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.3% | 27.6% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 5.28 | 16.8% | 24.2% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Fundación Lara Deportiva
Probability
48.2%
Model confidence
48.2%
Fundación Lara Deportiva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20