Fundación Lara Deportivavs
Caracas FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 9/9/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Caracas FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fundación Lara Deportiva 0-5 Caracas FC
Original prediction
Caracas FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.09 | 22.0% | 31.7% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.3% | 27.3% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 1.70 | 52.7% | 41.1% | -11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Caracas FC
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Caracas FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60