Fulham U21vs
Brighton U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/23/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fulham U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 4-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fulham U21 2-4 Brighton U21
Original prediction
Fulham U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 19:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.0% | 52.3% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.4% | 20.3% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.6% | 27.4% | -11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–17%
- 2.3–27%
- 3.4–16%
Predicted outcome
Fulham U21
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Fulham U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20
GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80