Fukushima Unitedvs
Roasso Kumamoto
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 9/12/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fukushima United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fukushima United 1-2 Roasso Kumamoto
Original prediction
Fukushima United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.58 | 34.8% | 36.8% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 26.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.4% | 36.4% | -2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Fukushima United
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Fukushima United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00