Fukushima Unitedvs
Nara Club
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 8/29/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fukushima United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fukushima United 2-2 Nara Club
Original prediction
Fukushima United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.8% | 39.5% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.9% | 25.6% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.71 | 33.3% | 35.0% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Fukushima United
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Fukushima United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20