Fukushima Unitedvs
Biwako Shiga
COMPLETEDJapan · J3 League · 10/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Biwako Shiga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-1 (7%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fukushima United 2-2 Biwako Shiga
Original prediction
Biwako Shiga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 37.6% | 37.7% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.3% | 21.1% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.1% | 41.2% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–17%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Biwako Shiga
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
41.2%
Biwako Shiga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 19 · avg 1.60/3.80
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40