Fujieda MYFCvs
Cerezo Osaka
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 9/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fujieda MYFC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fujieda MYFC 1-2 Cerezo Osaka
Original prediction
Fujieda MYFC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.85 | 18.7% | 38.1% | 19.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.7% | 27.6% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.6% | 34.3% | -23.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Fujieda MYFC
Probability
38.1%
Model confidence
38.1%
Fujieda MYFC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60