Fujian Quanzhou Qinggongvs
Jiangxi Liansheng
COMPLETEDChina · FA Cup · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jiangxi Liansheng · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Fujian Quanzhou Qinggong are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Jiangxi Liansheng are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jiangxi Liansheng hold a 66.8-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 73.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the FA Cup, while Jiangxi Liansheng holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jiangxi Liansheng
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Jiangxi Liansheng has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/3.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00