Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Ormoz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Fužinar 4-3 NK Ormoz
Original prediction
NK Ormoz
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.1% | 36.1% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.4% | 24.0% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.60 | 34.4% | 39.9% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
NK Ormoz
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
NK Ormoz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
FužinarWWLWL
GF 17 · GA 13 · avg 3.40/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
NK OrmozWDLWW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FužinarNK Ormoz
100.0Attack77.8
27.8Defence61.1
66.7Form72.2
64.6Power69.9
2.12xG2.49